Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Back in the Saddle Again


I'm proud of Barack. There's no other way to put it; it does sound a little condescending. But this man's confounded the right wing with his balanced approach and effort to include just about every kind of philosophy in his cabinet.

After the countdown to the election, the countdown to the inauguration seems much more tolerable. And kudos to President Bush (I never thought I'd write that sentence) for the graceful way he's handled the transition.

The difference between the Bush administration and the Obama administration is clear in one fundamental aspect. Bush was insecure about being President; he overrelied on Cheney and was afraid of dissension in policy discussions. Obama, on the other hand, seems to welcome it. His team of rivals has included everyone except poor Chris Dodd.

And some in the right wing seem unable to fathom that they've lost. They talk about going into the wilderness as a transformative experience instead of a place where they've been banished.

Well, it is good to be in power again. And one thing a politician told me many years ago, "It doesn't matter what the other side says if you've got the votes."

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

The Parade of Obama's Nominees


As President-elect Obama marches his new nominees forward in a series of press conferences, one can't help but feel impressed. In addition to the audacity of nominating Senator Clinton, the President-elect has demonstrated superb judgement of character and qualifications. He is unafraid of admitting his lack of knowledge in many fields and has shown a propensity to reach out for those who may be wiser than he. How does this compare with President Bush who filled FEMA with political hacks and demanded strict allegiance to neo-conservative values?

It's good to have the adults in charge again. It seems like January 20th can't come soon enough. I'm trying not to get my hopes up too much, but I was too young to remember the Camelot of the Kennedy days, and this must have been what it was like. It's amazing how much Bush and the Republicans did to mess up this country and our image in the world in just eight short years, but justice did finally come, even if it was justice delayed.

It will be a long time before the American people are willing to trust the Republicans again. I hope they enjoy their time in the wilderness.

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Hillary! A Worthy Secretary of State


It's nice to know the adults are back in charge. To have a President with the inner security and confidence to open us his cabinet to political opponents. A President who doesn't have to declare "I'm the decider."

The riveting story of the appointment of Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State appears to have concluded as a greaet success story. Hillary has transcended past aspersions declared in the heat of the primaries, and all the more power to her for it.

And she'll be a great Secretary of State, too. People have been asking whether she will be able to subordinate her views and carry out President Obama's policy. They forget she used to be a lawyer whose main job was to represent the best wishes of her clients.

Take that Rush Limbaugh and all you other plotting conservatives. In an attempt to play a spoiler in the internal Democratic primaries, Rush, and others like him, including Laura Ingram, pushed Republicans to go to the polls (in states that allow cross-registration, often on the day of the election) and cast a vote for Hillary to prolong the Democratic contest and Democratic divisions.

But the plotters and manipulators had their own deceitfulness boomerang against them. By lengthening the race, they helped Barack Obama start campaign organizations in almost all 50 states, and it was that experience on the ground that helped him to win.

In addition, by strenghtening Hillary's hand, they made her a stronger force with almost 18 million voters, and it was that strength that Barack considered as one element in appointing her.

So, now, thanks to your own deceit, and, of course, Hillary's inherent skills, you not only have the most liberal Senator in the country running the place, but the dreaded Clintons back in the game, too.

And my thoughts can be summarized in one sentence, "Thank God, for the sake of our country."

Saturday, November 15, 2008

A New Dawn with Barack


It's rather disgusting to think that there are some segments of American society who are not celebrating Senator Obama's victory, who don't realize what it means to our image abroad, who are consumed with their petty jealousies or the need to fit into their social circles.

Yes, only in America could something like this happen, but for some it is an occasion of misplaced mourning or even the opportunity to stock up on their firearms in fear of the future.

Who are these groups? There are members of the "religious right," the most extreme, out-of-touch people, living in their own bubble of hatred, hatred totally antithetical to everything Jesus represents. In more affluent areas, they have no sympathy for the suffering caused by the Bush administration, for Katrina and even worse, the systematic promotion of the rich at the expense of all other classes in our great land.

There are also groups misled by the Joe the Plumber campaign, who hold on to their overflowing wallets and pocket books with desperation and hoarding, who are afraid of contributing a little more to the land that has given them so many opportunities.

Perhaps, most pitiful, there are also groups misled by Republican politicians, by the sophistry of Sarah Palin, et. al., who don't realize these charlatans are just playing one group against another in a divisive campaign where nobody really wins, except the candidates themselves and their high-rolling contributors.

As for me, I look forward to a new dawn in America, a new time of hope. Not to say that all the problems will be fixed immediately, but, at least, we will be making progress, moving in the right direction again. Maybe, just maybe, President-elect Obama will make an impact on these poor misled souls, and when they see the value of an intelligent President, not just someone whom you would like to have a beer with, a "Joe Sixpack," they will come around and re-discover the generosity inherent in this land, the reason why this country's heart moves in a more liberal direction in the long run, despite deleterious intervals where we have been misled by powerful interests beholden to noone but themselves, and the perpetuation of their own power.

Saturday, November 8, 2008

Victory: Anecdotes About Obama's Election


Victory! After 2000 and 2004, I forgot what it felt like. The exultation, the renewed hope for our country. And this time, of course, it was extra special.

-- To see tears streaming down Jesse Jackson's face.

-- I passed the stewards of our housing complex on my walk the next morning (they happen to be black) and just started clapping. They shook my hand and beamed at me.

-- Passing a black woman on the street, still so happy, I started clapping again. She exclaimed, "Obama," as we went our separate ways.

-- Today, passing a girl with a beautiful Golden Retriever, I said, "What a beautiful dog. Obama should choose a dog like that." She laughed.

-- A close friend whom I tried to convince (she ended up voting for the other side) sent me an email saying she was impressed when Obama said he was everyone's President now, not just for the people who voted for him.

-- Bill Maher, in his late night comedy show, said he was even proud of the country, and that it's nice to see the adults in charge again.

-- I emailed a Democratic friend about the wave of joy sweeping our land.

I know there are difficult issues now to be solved, but I have faith in the ability of our President-elect to address them in a competent, intelligent manner.

Saturday, November 1, 2008

October surprise, GOTV


Well,it looks like we've avoided an October surprise this election. Not for want of trying, however. All of sudden, we're bombing Pakistan like crazy. The reason why: to catch Osama bin Laden before the election and boost McCain.

However, you can't just turn an effort like this off and on, then expect to succeed. Maybe, if Bush had caught Osama bin Laden before now, the results might have been different.

Anyway, the last few days of an election, any election, are all about GOTV -- get out the vote. Maybe, the Republicans are beginning to rue their efforts to make fun of Barack Obama because he was a community organizer. Community organizers know how to get out the vote!

Anyway, like all Democrats, I'm just a little nervous. We've been within inches of the brass ring before only to have it snatched out of our hands. I'll be happy on Wednesday after Barack has been elected, and the image of this nation makes a big turn for the better.

Let's all get out and vote with our own families first. My Dad is in his 80s, but I'm driving him to the polls!

Saturday, October 25, 2008

McCain tactics, Jeremiah Wright and Shakespeare


Look for the Republicans to pull out the last stop in their disgraceful campaign next week: a full court press on the Reverend Jeremiah Wright.

Even if the (air quotes) "McCain campaign" refuses to raise the topic in a last shred of decency, surrogates will do the dirty work for them.

Why?

Because it is the Republicans who are more interested in winning the election than the good of the country. Despite all their lofty rhetoric, they are the ones who are the real traitors.

It makes a mockery of John McCain's slogan, "Country First."

The real tragedy here is not so different from Shakespeare's MacBeth, the ultimate story about someone who would do anything (or say anything) to accede to the throne. Like MacBeth, a decent man who was unfortunately misled, McCain was once a decent man, too. He had the gumption to protest the Bush tax cuts for the rich and to prevent the "nuclear option" in the Supreme Court confirmation process in the U.S. Senate.

But, as they say, bad company corrupts good morals. McCain's fatal error occurred when he hired Rove's accolytes to take over his campaign's tactics. All he really had to do was to be who he was, and the election would have been close (and it may still be). But if McCain loses, and it's looking increasingly that way, he will rue the day he signed on to the Republican right-wing attack machine.

Saturday, October 18, 2008

McCain and Bush's October surprise


George Bush and John McCain are planning an October surprise to steal the election from Senator Obama.

What is it?

No less than the capture or killing of Osama Bin Laden. The clashes along the Afghanistan/Pakistan border have picked up notedly during the past three weeks, and the reason should be clear to anyone who has observed the political preoccupation of the Bush White House.

Bush believes in the "war against terrorism" with a single-minded fervor and even believes he became President just for that purpose. What good would all his efforts be if Obama became President and focused on the domestic economy instead?

When it happens, remember that this blog predicted it first.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Pit Bull Sarah Palin, a Disgrace to the Assembly of God


How do you define demagogue?

A demagogue is someone who stirs up the crowds, who appeals to the baser elements of human nature.

And what is Sarah Palin doing?

She is appealing to the base, to the right-wing fringe of the electorate, and they are frequenting her rallies with cries of physical revenge against the Democrats.

How well do we know Barack Obama?

I say, how well do we know Sarah Palin? I know her because I can judge by her actions. Yes, she is a pit bull, as she herself characterized her own personality.

But what kind of pit bull? Not the kind that protects her young but the kind who lunges at and bites innocent people. The kind that must eventually be controlled because it is not fit to live in a civilized world.

Sarah Palin is a disgrace to her gender, a disgrace to her party and a disgrace to her religion. A disgrace to the denomination I belong to, the Assembly of God. If for no other reason, it is for this one that she must be defeated.

Saturday, October 4, 2008

Coming Down the Homestretch

I've got to hand it to Obama. He deserves to win this election because he has out-thought, out-maneuvered and out-spoken his rival candidates every step of the way.

To bring down the Clinton machine, he realized the importance of the caucuses and created a grassroots organization from scratch to get his supporters to the "polls," even though it may have consumed an entire evening as opposed to travelling to a local school to pull a lever.

And this was despite the fact that the local Democratic organizations, including district leaders, ward captains and elected officials, were often bound through loyalty and expediency to support Senator Clinton.

To beat the Republican attack machine, the Obama campaign did not panic but maintained a cool demeanor in the face of one crisis after another. While the McCain people were constantly reacting to events and re-calibrating their message, Senator Obama's team built an email and donor base, leveraging organizations already in place in nearly every state, thanks to the long primary challenge that Republicans were hoping would sap the Democrat's strength.

The results may still change, but just like the Clinton primary, it seems the Obama team knows how to build a lead and run out the clock.

Monday, September 29, 2008

How Republican Consultants have Messed Things Up


Sometimes you wonder what world these political consultants live in. They've made so many fundamental errors in the Republican campaign, it almost makes me pity them. However, their errors can be condensed into two...the mishandling of Sarah Palin, and the mishandling of John McCain.
Number one error: Sarah Palin. By shielding her from the press and any meaningful exchanges, Republican consultants have made her so nervous, that when she does speak to a reporter, it's an unmitigated disaster.

From her history, she seems like a competent person. How much better would it be to let her make a few mistakes at the beginning and then trust her to learn the ropes. She seems like a quick study.

Number two error: Putting McCain in a strait jacket. McCain was beloved by the press and the public for his freewheeling honest style. In their obsession about staying on message, the handlers have made McCain into something he never really was, a standard politician. Their claim about maverick is now based in the past and not the present.
How much better would it be to let him make a few mistakes, that can even be endearing to the American people. It's the reason why he got where he is today. Instead, by bottling McCain up, you create explosions of independence that are risky and will eventually lose the campaign.

By repressing McCain and Palin, the handlers have created an untenable situation. You must let people be who they really are, and let the chips fall where they may. By imposing the strategy for George W. Bush on an entirely different ticket, the handlers have created an unmitigated mess.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

He Who Laughs Last


Not to belittle the horrible week our country has experienced, but let's be real. Politics is politics, and the new focus on the economy has turned the tables on the McCain campaign. The problem about relying on personalities (Rick Davis, McCain's campaign chairperson, said their campaign was not about issues), is that when real life intrudes, when issues rise to the forefront, there's nothing left but fluff.

Even worse than having no issue background is to be on the wrong side. McCain, and Republicans at large, favor deregulation of the financial sector, and that deregulation was largely responsible for the financial meltdown we experienced this week. You can't just erase twenty years of your life, change positions, and expect noone to notice.

I have faith in the American people. They may have been duped by George W. Bush for eight years, but eventually they catch on.

The Republican diversion-distort-smear campaign will no longer fool the American people. As the urgency of real world problems intrudes upon the campaign, they will be forced to take stands on the issues, face up to previous errors, and be held accountable. They will have no place to hide any longer.

Justice will prevail, and we will pass the torch to a new generation, a new Kennedy, to lead us.

Saturday, September 13, 2008

10 Palin Errors in Interview with Charles Gibson

Sarah Palin made many errors, both strategic and tactical, in her interview by Charles Gibson. Here are just 10 of them:

1. When asked if she felt ready to become President of the United States, Sarah Palin showed no appreciation of the magnitude of the job. She should have expressed humility. Instead, she talked about her "wiring."

2. When asked about the Bush doctrine, she tried to bluff her way through it. Instead, she should have asked Charles Gibson what he meant. This is not a common term, and a little honesty about her unfamiliarity with it would have been in order. Instead, she showed insecurity about her knowledge of foreign affairs.

3. When Sarah Palin was pressed about "The Bridge to Nowhere," Charles Gibson was gracious and asked if she wanted to revise and extend her remarks. Instead, she stuck to a story that is clearly contradicted by the facts, newspaper articles and even a photograph showing her wearing a sweatshirt supporting the bridge.

4. Another opportunity missed: Sarah was asked about earmarks she supported, such as one to study the mating habits of crabs. She could have acknowledged that the spending was ridiculous; instead, she passed the blame to educational institutions.

5. When asked about support for an Israeli attack on Iran, she repeated the same phrase several times, "Israel has the right to defend itself," instead of engaging in Charles Gibson in a conversation of the matter. This gave the impression of someone studying for a test instead of a mature understanding of the issue.

6. Throughout the interview, Sarah Palin looked nervous and uptight.

7. Sarah Palin called Charles Gibson by his nickname, "Charlie." She should have shown more respect and called him "Mr. Gibson." Her choice of the other moniker seemed an ineffective attempt to curry favor.

8. When Sarah Palin was asked about three things she would change in Bush economic policy, she seemed unable to answer the question. She fudged the answer in a "blizzard of words" and then the items she cited were not real changes.

9. Sarah Palin's attempt to win Hillary Clinton supporters seemed insincere. She should have mentioned some of their policy differences and then, perhaps, noted some Hillary people were supporting her anyway.

10. Sarah Palin failed to enunciate an overall worldview or philosophy. She wasted an opportunity to defend conservative thought in general and show a sophisticated understanding of how her stands on the issues tied together . Given the amount of time she spent preparing for the interview, you would have thought she would have done more than just respond to the questions on an piecemeal issue-by-issue basis.

There's one major theme common to almost all these points. If Sarah Palin had really acted like the normal Mom she claims to be, and not a talented politician, she would have been more honest and she would have been capable of admitting when she was wrong

Monday, September 8, 2008

Sarah Palin is a Distraction

As Bob Herbert noted in The New York Times, Sarah Palin was selected to provide a distraction from the issues in this race.

What did the Republicans avoid by choosing her? Well, they didn't discuss the foreclosure crisis. They didn't discuss health care. They didn't discuss education.

Instead, they made the race a referendum on character and personalities, the very thing they accused Barack Obama about.

However, this change of focus comes with some very real dangers. How well can we evaluate a person in just 60 days, especially when she is being kept under wraps and shielded from the press corps? She does have a compelling life story; the problem is that the story is so compelling, it distracts people from the real concerns they should have for the next occupant of the White House.

The Republicans may not know how to govern, but they sure know how to campaign. By making Sarah Palin inaccessible, they are keeping the distraction going. Each time she does make an appearance, it will generate increased scrutiny and increased distraction. Now, she is going to be interviewed by Charlie Gibson of ABC News, and how many people will watch that?

The real question, in my opinion, is whether the American people will be fooled again. They voted against Al Gore's sighs, against John Kerry's windsurfing, against Michael Dukakis riding around in a tank. When will they vote on the real issues that affect their every day lives?

Monday, August 25, 2008

The Democratic Convention, A Week of Hope

I can't help it. I'm hopeful. It started with McCain's failure to remember how many houses he had. It grew with the appointment of Joe Biden for Vice President. And it is reaching a crescendo with the Democratic Convention this week.

Why can't everyone see what I see? The hypocrisy of the Republicans, the distortion, the smears. The attempts at diversion and failure to talk about the issues as opposed to Brittney Spears and Paris Hilton. The Democrats are real people, not images to fool the public every four years.

Still, I hope this time will be different. The people will throw off the yoke of Republican rule and a government run for the rich and other campaign contributors. The youth will rise up as one to vote in a charismatic, intelligent candidate whose motto for everyone is "Yes, we can."

It could really happen. I hope it does.

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Rick Warren forum

Well, I must admit a small amount of gratification about the coming "debate" between Barack Obama and Rick Warren at Saddleback Church. As an evangelical Christian myself, and a committed Democrat, I see the Democratic Party fulfilling Jesus's model much better than the Republicans.

My Pastor frequently notes that Jesus mentioned poverty in the New Testament far more than heaven and hell. The problem with compassionate conservatism is that you have to say it in the first place. We all know liberals are compassionate, and I've been shocked at some of the callous statements and positions widely adopted by Republicans.

For example, if I were a minority, especially a Hispanic, I would flee the Republican Party post haste. They are reverting to the most prejudiced, nativist arguments in their zealous drive to deport illegal aliens, even if it means splitting up families.

Anyway, I'm looking forward to the debate and am curious about the questions to be posed. For a long time, I've said the Christian religion is about more than just two issues. God bless you, Rick Warren, for recognizing that.

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Opening Ceremony at Beijing Olympics

Since the political scene is quiet for the moment, and the Obama-McCain race has momentarily faded into the backgroud, here's some thoughts about the Olympics instead.

First of all, the opening ceremony last night was astounding. As a fireworks afficionado in the first place, I was stunned by the pyrotechnics display at the Olympics ceremony. And the videoscreen running around the top of the stadium was breathtaking. That's better than a widescreen plasma TV for sure!

I'm looking forward to taking a break from politics myself and rooting for the likes of Dara Torres and Shawn Johnson. Sports and politics have a lot of similiarities when you think about it. There's a clearcut winner and loser, and close only counts in horseshoes.

Perhaps, the bitterness and name calling in the Presidential race will subside now that noone is listening to it, at least for the next two weeks anyway.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Sick and tired of Republican tactics

I'm sick and tired of Republican tactics. They trot them out every four years, and just enough people are influenced that it works.

Don't they have any honor? Will they do anything to win an election? Apparently so. I just hope people catch on to them, and it produces a great big backlash.

Whether it's Willie Horton or windsurfing or Dukakis in a helmet...is this the way we really want to choose a President?

I'm sick to the stomach about these negative advertisements and am afraid, quite afraid, they might work.

Are we really going to choose a President by the person who has the most effective commercials? Will we miss out on the brave new frontier of an Obama administration and choose the tired, pay-back-the-rich and campaign contributors of another Republican administration?

I thought John McCain might be better than this. That he experienced the knife-in-the-back tactics of the Bush team in 2000 and would run a better campaign. But there he is feigning innocence and calling out OBAMA for playing the race card.

I remember a friend of mine who relayed quite a good joke. What would I be if I weren't a Democrat? The answer: Ashamed.

Saturday, July 26, 2008

Hypocrisy by the Right

Barack Obama answered all John McCain's complaints about his overseas trip today with one simple sentence.

He said he was surprised by Mr. McCain's reaction because it was Mr. McCain who suggested he should go.

That's not to mention all the countdown clocks maintained by Fox News and similar "august" institutions, noting how many days it had been since Senator Obama last traveled to Iraq.

These guys are such hypocrites, they don't even acknowledge when you take their advice.

Meanwhile, Senator Obama was treated to a hero's welcome, and you know one reason why?

Because he was an adult who actually listened to their concerns and showed a modicum of intelligence. It's been eight long years under President Bush, and American citizens aren't the only ones chafing for a change.

Meanwhile, John McCain has sold out to the Republican establishment, and despite his infrequent attempts to renew his maverick status, he is totally trapped by them.

This man is not the same as the one from 2000 for many other reasons. He's become significantly older, forgets key facts and becomes nasty and ornery when things don't go his way. After eight long years with Bush, must we suffer through the childish snits of another Republican?

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Obama Overseas

It makes me proud to be an American:

--To see the noblest aspects of our nature, not the caricatured picture of our greed.

--To see anything is possible in America, for anyone of any race.

--To see the world looking to our leadership again.

--To think we will be cheered in Europe instead of causing riots in the street.

--To have hope again for the future of our world.

--To be inspired again.

--To believe a rising tide will lift all boats, not just the rich.

--To know government may accomplish positive change instead of partisan rancor.

--To be rid of the hypocrisy of politicans using religion for personal advantage.

--To celebrate our diversity rather than having it used as a wedge to divide us.

--To see a future President who has a pretty good jump shot.

To see Obama overseas.

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Obama, The Republicans and Catch 22

Here's just a few "Catch 22" situations and hypocrisy I've observed from the recent campaign.

1. Obama is criticized for his position on Iraq and then when he moderates his stance, he's accused of being a flip-flopper.

2. When there was a lot of violence in Iraq, we had to keep the troops in to maintain stability, then when the violence declines, we have to stay in or all our gains will be lost.

3. We needed large tax cuts as a peace dividend when the economy was going well, then we needed large tax cuts as a stimulus when the economy was going poorly.

4. Bush tried to open ANWAR for drilling before energy prices went up, and we needed to drill after prices went up.

5. Bush was planning to invade Iraq before 9/11, then the tragedy was used as an excuse for war after 9/11.

6. We needed to cut Social Security always at all times. The current exemption of higher earnings from Social Security taxes would fix the situation, but somehow that isn't proposed as a solution.

7. Somehow regulation of the market regarding oil speculators isn't mentioned as an alternative to lower gas prices, even though everyone seems to agree that it's the speculation, and not supply and demand, that is driving the increase.

8. McCain says the economy is not his strong suit, then spends all his time campaigning about it.

9. Bush is a good President for McCain's private fundraisers, but then is shunned in all public situations.

10. McCain is a maverick and an orthodox Republican at the same time.

This is just a short list of contradictions, lies and deception. I'm sure the reader can think of many more.

Monday, July 7, 2008

10 Suggestions for Obama and McCain: Try PR 101

Here's a note to both candidates regarding some fundamental tenets of public relations (see my company website at www.cioediting.com -- Cut-It-Out Communications -- for my professional qualifications).

1. First, get all your ducks in a row. Both Obama and McCain need to control their own surrogates a little more. Wesley Clarke shouldn't be making controversial remarks on Face the Nation, and Charlie Black shouldn't be fantasizing about political implications of the next terrorist attack on U.S. soil.

2. Choose no more than three talking points and stick to them. Both campaigns need to emphasize just a few themes to the exclusion of all others. I know there seem to be so many great topics out there, but the impact gets minimized when it's Iraq one day, the economy the next, and health insurance third. Bill Clinton had a way to focus when he told his campaign, "It's the economy, stupid."

3. Decide who's your target audience. It's nice for McCain to be concerned about the environment to go after independents, but his support for the Bush tax cuts tends to drive them away.

4. Pay attention to details. Things like the ugly green backdrop for McCain's speech after Obama won the nomination... And, if Obama's going to triangulate by talking about "refining" his Iraq policy, he'd better be prepared for the reaction, and not have to call another press conference to explain it.

5. Be consistent. McCain can't complain about Obama's failure to consider the realities on the ground in Iraq and then criticize him for flip flopping when he announces his trip to do so.

6. This one's primarily for McCain: Learn how to read a teleprompter already. It may be cute to brag you've never used a computer, but this tends turn off voters younger than 70. If you can't handle fundamental electronic equipment, maybe you should find a less demanding occupation.

7. Another for McCain: When your opponent has the eloquence and persuasive charm of John F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King, Jr., all rolled into one, it might be helpful to learn how to give a speech. Like when to smile, when to pause, when to pause and smile, etc. You can't hold town hall meetings for the entire campaign.

8. Stick to your strong points. I know Obama's a capable guy, but why does he want to fight the campaign on national security, his opponent's best asset? Is this a matter of egotism? And why does McCain brag about his age during every speech?

9. Provide a long-term vision. We're all sick of the daily back and forth on who said what when.

10. Don't triangulate. This favorite tactic of Bill Clinton doesn't work when there's 24/7 cable news coverage, and every word you say is being recorded for posterity.

Just a few minor tips for the pros and their campaign staffs...

Saturday, June 28, 2008

A Place Called Unity


It was political theater at its best in Unity, NH this week. It's not that I don't believe Hillary. It's just got to be so incredibly hard for her to do this, and she deserves all the kudos she gets. Just imagine being the favorite to win the Democratic nomination and then the Presidency, only to see it all slip away. It would have crushed other people, but Hillary did what she does best, pressing on despite all the clamor around her. It was that poise in the face of the Monica Lewinsky scandal that earned her stripes. Despite all the humiliation, she took counsel and decided to save her marriage.


This time, she's saving her political career and her husband's legacy, and I have no doubt she'll do it. Hillary does indeed love her country, and she's come out of this campaign with the admiration of all around her. I heard on TV the other day, she's in the same league as some of the noblest leaders of recent history who didn't quite make it: Al Gore, Hubert Humphrey, Adlai Stevenson. That's quite a rarified atmosphere, and I look forward to what she does with her new power. I have only the highest expectations.

Monday, June 23, 2008

The New McCarthyism: A Challenge to John McCain


I am sick to death of the cynical efforts of the Bush administration to equate any disagreement with their viewpoint on the war of terrorism as tantamount to unpatriotic beliefs. Since when, in a democracy, is disagreement and healthy debate on the issues transformed into personal ad hominem attacks on the individuals making them?

This is, in fact, the new McCarthyism, and I challenge John McCain to disavow it once and for all by firing his chief strategist, Charlie Black. Today, Charlie Black invoked the spectre of a terrorist attack on U.S. soil as beneficial to the McCain campaign. After a few non-denials, he issued a typical political non-apology.

Does Senator McCain have the courage of his convictions and his vow to run a campaign on the issues without innuendo or fear-mongering? Does he really belief in the honor and respect needed to do so?

If he does, it will require some hard decisions on his part. Firing Charlie Black would send a strong signal that Mr. McCain means what he says.

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Barack Obama in a Landslide

Am I missing something, or does it look like Barack Obama will win the November election in a landslide?

Almost every issue is in his favor. People are fed up with gas at four dollars a gallon, and two oil men are in the White House. The Republicans aren't even trying to reduce the price, other than using the issue to promote drilling offshore and in the Alaskan wilderness. And this is just a hypocritical effort to enact legislation they have sought for years.

Other than gas, there's the rising cost of food and a general malaise in the economy. This weakness can be attributed directly to the financial effects of a huge deficit, primarily because of the war in Iraq and taxes heavily skewed to favor the rich.

How can the Hispanic vote go Republican after that Party stoked the flames of nativism and prejudice? They endorsed the break-up of families and punishment for some of the lowest tiers of our society, people who struggle every day to just make ends meet and fill some of the jobs no other American would touch.

What about universal healthcare and the fact we are the only developed country in the Western world without a safety net for our citizens? How much longer will the Republicans be able to veto legislation such as the Children's Health Insurance Program?

And regardless of your opinion of the surge, how come the Republicans voted against a GI bill designed to offer veterans a free education after putting their lives on the line for our country? This is not a Democratic or Republican issue; it's only the same thing we did for veterans returning after World War II.

How about all the Republican scandals? The corruption, the outing of CIA agents like Valerie Plame, the usurpation of power in the executive branch, or holding civil judges to a political litmus test? Not to mention Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo, warrantless wiretapping, the use of torture such as waterboarding, suspension of habeas corpus and other civil liberties.

What about the ongoing shameful response to New Orleans? President Bush promised a Marshall Plan to rebuild the area. Well???

I know John McCain is not as bad as George Bush; that's a very low bar. But someone, or some Party, must be held accountable.

Saturday, June 7, 2008

God Bless Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton

What a great speech Senator Clinton gave today. Her soaring rhetoric, magnaminous attitude and retrospective on her candidacy were truly inspiration. She really has done this country an enormous service, and somehow she knew how important it was to stick to her guns until the end.

Even if her contributions came to an end today, her devotion to her signature issue of universal health care will be remembered by future generations when they look back in shock at our current state of affairs. That devotion and commitment is clearly the driving force behind her endorsement of Barack Obama, not political expediency or a desire to become Vice President, as some pundits would have you believe. She has literally sacrificed herself to this cause, and her followers would do well to heed her advice and remain in the Democratic fold.

I think many felt a sense of irritation at Senator Clinton's persistence, but today's speech put everything in perspective. Her devotion to women's rights drove her to go the distance, and this achievement goes beyond symbolic impact. It is a trendsetting precedent for the next female candidate for President, whether it's her or someone else. It puts women into the major leagues as Presidential contenders, and that's a good thing for our nation. As over 50 percent of the population, the resources women offer our society should be encouraged and treasured. The potential they represent is important in all fields, not just politics. Who knows what women will discover a cure to cancer or make a technological breakthrough or change our society in some other fundamental way?

So, kudos to Senator Clinton today. She may have been unappreciated, and she may have been ridiculed by some, but the good she has done for our national soul will last for a long, long time.

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

The End of Hillary Clinton's Dream

Imagine being the odds-on favorite to become President of the United States and then see it all slip away. That is a very small club. Al Gore is a member. John Kerry may have been a member. And now Senator Hillary Clinton is about to become one.

The widely acknowledged frontrunner at the beginning of the primary season, Hillary Clinton was leading in national polls, and it was, and still is, a very Democratic year. Thanks in no small part to George W. Bush, Republican scandals, an unpopular war -- seemingly without end -- rising gasoline prices, the foreclosure crisis, the increasing cost of food, and a generally stagnant economy, a Democrat should be able to sleep-walk his (or her) way to the White House.

Hillary Clinton was much better than the campaign she ran. In fact, if she had learned to trust herself instead of listening to high-priced consultants such as Mark Penn, and those who said a woman had to be perceived as tough to become commander-in-chief, we would be sitting here congratulating her instead of Barack Obama. If Hillary had campaigned from the beginning in the same manner as the past six weeks, she would have won the nomination in a walk.

There were three major problems with Hillary's campaign. First, as noted in the above paragraph, she felt a need to vote in favor of the Iraq War to show her toughness, instead of doing what in her heart she felt was best for the country. That vote plagued Hillary throughout the primary season, and she clung to it because of her conceived need to seem tough for the general election campaign. However, you can't get to the general election campaign until you win the nomination, and Hillary's foes were able to paint her into a corner on that vote and torpedo her relationship with Democratic activists.

Second, Hillary Clinton was pre-empted in the message of change. She chose the theme "experience" instead, ready on day one, yada yada. But this represented a fundamental misreading of the Democratic electorate, and Barack Obama outflanked her on the change message. Where were you Mark Penn? What were you thinking? How could you miss the importance of the change theme after eight years of George W. Bush? I'm a lousy Harvard graduate with a degree in Government (and the owner of a PR firm, www.cioediting.com), and I could have given her better advice.

Hillary's final mistake was an organizational one. She had a nationwide organization, the support of the Party, elected officials all over the place, and she let Barack Obama build a competing structure. HILLARY should have been winning all the caucus states, not the other way around. Instead, she coasted on her name recognition, assured by her experts that the race would be over after the regional primaries in February. When it wasn't, she was unprepared for the caucus contests that followed, and let Barack win a string of 10 elections in a row.

Instead, tonight, we have this bittersweet moment, the wistful looking back at what might have been.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

The Third Rail of American Politics

I think it was Chris Matthews who referred to the word "assasination" as the third rail of American politics. So, the reaction to Hillary Clinton's remark that Robert Kennedy was assasinated in June was understandable, if a little overblown.

Of course, most would agree that Hillary misspoke except for those who really want to "demonize" her. Senator Clinton has been devoted to improving the lot of everyday citizens for her entire career, and any suggestion that she would want to put the nation through another trauma, just for her personal ambition, is really beyond the pale.

But beyond all the hoopla, a closer look at the role of assasination in American politics may be in order. Sometimes, it seems our best leaders, the ones who try to buck the system, are the ones who get killed. Think about Lincoln, the Kennedy's, Martin Luther King. All were strong leaders who were willing to stand up for their beliefs come what may. In this respect, Senator Obama, and his campaign to transcend partisanship, and fight vested interests, seems to be particularly vulnerable.

My hope, and we can only hope, is that the science of personal protection in the 21st century has become largely foolproof. There were no serious assasination attempts against Bill Clinton or either of the Bush presidencies, and I believe improved secret service techniques may be credited for that.

Of course, Senator Clinton was right to apologize for her statement, and she seemed genuinely contrite about the situation. Again, she is better than her campaign as many of the staff members are now trying to take the offensive and blame Obama for the controversy. Hillary should keep doing what her heart tells herself instead of listening to those clueless campaign consultants.

If she had done so from the beginning, she would have received the Democratic nomination herself. It was only at the behest of advisors on political positioning, that a woman had to appear strong to be trusted as Commander-in-Chief, that she cast that vote for the Iraq war in the first place.

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Politics and Public Relations

As the Democratic campaign season winds down to a close, and there is a lull before the full-throated fall contest, it may be useful to look back at the role public relations and campaign strategy played in the primaries. As the owner of a PR firm (see Cut-It-Out Communications, Inc.), I am particularly sensitive to the relationship between empirical facts and image, or spin.

Hillary Clinton and her campaign made two fundamental miscalculations leading to their current demise. The first was her attempt to look strong as a potential commander-in-chief by voting for the war in Iraq. The idea was to counterattack any attempt to portray her as a woman, inherently unable to send soldiers to their death.

The result of this vote, and her subsequent refusal to apologize for it, gave impetus to her opponents in the early stages of the campaign. She wanted to project a strong image, and it was the wrong one to emphasize given the bent of the activist base of the Democratic Party. She adopted a general election stance, assuming the nomination was hers.

The second failure involved campaign strategy, and that was to adopt a theme of experience (I'll be ready on day one!) when the voters were primarily hungry for change. She was pre-empted on the "change" message by Barack Obama and could never get it back despite some belated efforts to do so.

Hillary Clinton was much better than the campaign she ran. She tried to create a PR persona of strength and experience when the voters wanted peace and change. As a result, Barack Obama was able to outflank her almost every step of the way and built a remarkable organizational structure to win the caucuses, the fulcrum in deciding the contest. In fact, Hillary Clinton was the one who had all the organizational advantages, but her campaign's focus on incorrect images led to their dissipation.

Saturday, May 10, 2008

The Legacy of Senator Clinton's Campaign

The article below describes the real glass ceiling Senator Clinton has broken in her valiant effort.

The New York Times
May 9, 2008
Op-Ed Contributor
The Fight Stuff
By SUSAN FALUDI
San Francisco

NOTABLE in the Indiana and North Carolina primary results and in many recent polls are signs of a change in the gender weather: white men are warming to Hillary Clinton — at least enough to vote for her. It’s no small shift. These men have historically been her fiercest antagonists. Their conversion may point less to a new kind of male voter than to a new kind of female vote-getter.

Pundits have been quick to attribute the erosion in Barack Obama’s white male support to a newfound racism. What they have failed to consider is the degree to which white male voters witnessing Senator Clinton’s metamorphosis are being forced to rethink precepts they’ve long held about women in American politics.

For years, the prevailing theory has been that white men are often uneasy with female politicians because they can’t abide strong women. But if that’s so, why haven’t they deserted Senator Clinton? More particularly, why haven’t they deserted her as she has become ever more pugnacious in her campaign?

Maybe the white male electorate just can’t abide strong women whom they suspect of being of a certain sort. To adopt a particularly lamentable white male construct, the sports metaphor, political strength comes in two varieties: the power of the umpire, who controls the game by application of the rules but who never gets hit; and the power of the participant, who has no rules except to hit hard, not complain, bounce back and endeavor to prevail in the end.

For virtually all of American political history, the strong female contestant has been cast not as the player but the rules keeper, the purse-lipped killjoy who passes strait-laced judgment on feral boy fun. The animosity toward the rules keeper is fueled by the suspicion that she (and in American life, the regulator is inevitably coded feminine, whatever his or her sex) is the agent of people so privileged that they don’t need to fight, people who can dominate more decisively when the rules are decorous. American political misogyny is inflamed by anger at this clucking overclass: who are they to do battle by imposing rectitude instead of by actually doing battle?

The specter of the prissy hall monitor is, in part, the legacy of the great female reformers of Victorian America. In fact, these women were the opposite of fainting flowers. Susan B. Anthony barely flinched in the face of epithets, hurled eggs and death threats. Carry A. Nation swung an ax. Yet they were regarded by men as the regulators outside the game. Indeed, many 19th-century female reformers defined themselves that way — as reluctant trespassers in the public sphere who had left the domestic circle only to fulfill their duty as the morally superior sex, housekeepers scouring away a nation’s vice.

While the populace might concede the merits of the female reformers’ cause, it found them repellent on a more glandular level. In that visceral subbasement of the national imagination — the one that underlies all the blood-and-guts sports imagery our culture holds so dear — the laurels go to the slugger who ignores the censors, the outrider who navigates the frontier without a chaperone.

Certainly through the many early primaries, Hillary Clinton was often defined by these old standards, and judged harshly. She was forever the entitled chaperone. But that was then. As Thelma, the housewife turned renegade, says to her friend in “Thelma & Louise” as the two women flee the law through the American West, “Something’s crossed over in me.”

Senator Clinton might well say the same. In the final stretch of the primary season, she seems to have stepped across an unstated gender divide, transforming herself from referee to contender.

What’s more, she seems to have taken to her new role with a Thelma-like relish. We are witnessing a female competitor delighting in the undomesticated fray. Her new no-holds-barred pugnacity and gleeful perseverance have revamped her image in the eyes of begrudging white male voters, who previously saw her as the sanctioning “sivilizer,” a political Aunt Polly whose goody-goody directives made them want to head for the hills.

It’s the unforeseen precedent of an unprecedented candidacy: our first major female presidential candidate isn’t doing what men always accuse women of doing. She’s not summoning the rules committee over every infraction. (Her attempt to rewrite the rules for Michigan and Florida are less a timeout than rough play.) Not once has she demanded that the umpire stop the fight. Indeed, she’s asking for more unregulated action, proposing a debate with no press-corps intermediaries.

If anyone has been guarding the rules this election, it’s been the press, which has been primly thumbing the pages of Queensberry and scolding her for being “ruthless” and “nasty,” a “brawler” who fights “dirty.”

But while the commentators have been tut-tutting, Senator Clinton has been converting white males, assuring them that she’s come into their tavern not to smash the bottles, but to join the brawl.

Deep in the American grain, particularly in the grain of white male working-class voters, that is the more trusted archetype. Whether Senator Clinton’s pugilism has elevated the current race for the nomination is debatable. But the strategy has certainly remade the political world for future female politicians, who may now cast off the assumption that when the going gets tough, the tough girl will resort to unilateral rectitude. When a woman does ascend through the glass ceiling into the White House, it will be, in part, because of the race of 2008, when Hillary Clinton broke through the glass floor and got down with the boys.

Susan Faludi is the author of “Backlash,” “Stiffed” and “The Terror Dream: Fear and Fantasy in Post-9/11 America.”

Monday, May 5, 2008

10 Reasons to Vote for Hillary based on the Gas Tax Debate

Why should the citizens of Indiana and North Carolina vote for Hillary Clinton tomorrow based on her call for temporary suspension of the federal gas tax? Here's a few reasons:

1) It demonstrates a real understanding of the plight of the working class where even $20 more at the end of the month helps ends meet and puts food on the table.

2) There is no reason for opposition to the tax if it is paid for by a windfall profits tax on the oil companies.

3) It does not prohibit or interfere with longterm solutions. In fact, many of these solutions, such as "green" jobs have been already proposed by Hillary.

4) Senator Obama has not proposed any other plan to reduce gas prices.

5) Targeted industries, such as truckers, suffer disproportianately from high gas taxes.

6) High gas prices increase the cost of food.

7) It represents a first step towards reducing gas prices and may be reinforced by other actions such as tapping the Strategic Oil Reserve.

8) It represents a reversal or a complement to our other tax policies, primarily aimed to benefit the rich.

9) The psychological benefit will boost the economy.

10) It will promote family outings during the summer driving season.

Finally, there is a clear, pronounced difference between the two candidates, so your vote will make a difference.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

A Different Take on Reverend Jeremiah Wright

I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but I do have a significantly different take on Reverend Jeremiah Wright than those currently being disseminated on cable-TV and mainstream news media. Pastor Wright is nobody's fool, and his media tour, including Bill Moyer's Journal and the National Press Club in Washington, D.C., involves a shrewd calculation to help his congregant, Barack Obama.

Any pastor is immersed in the watchword of Christianity, "Do unto others as you would have them do unto you," and if Reverend Wright thought the publicity generated by his media tour would hurt Senator Obama, he never would have undertaken it. He knows that he is dredging up an issue that was fading away, and as a Christian, he would have willingly suffered persecution and mis-representation for the sake of someone else, as that is the model Jesus left for us.

No, Pastor Wright made a conscious decision to unfreeze the current situation, albeit without Senator Obama's coordination. The loop of his anti-American snippets had become embedded in our collective consciousness, and Mr. Obama was firmly linked to it. By re-opening the issue, and making more outrageous statements in the process, Revered Wright showed how helpless the Obama campaign was to control his actions. This effectively unlinked his congregant from the 30-second excerpts, and though it may cause some additional short-term damage to Senator Obama, in the long run, it will do him a world of good.

At the same time, of course, Pastor Wright is defending himself, but he would never sacrifice the possibility of the first black President for his own reputation. Just ponder the situation. Reverend Wright has been a public figure in the church for years, and his community outreach is widely acclaimed. He has been following the political debate as closely as anyone, and the most logical explanation for his behavior involves self-sacrifice not aggrandizement.

Monday, April 21, 2008

Obama/Clinton versus Carter/Kennedy

As the media continues to drive the story for an ultimate victory by Barack Obama, it is instructive to look at the dynamics of some previous Democratic primaries.

Ted Kennedy, a media darling, contested the Democratic nomination against sitting President Jimmy Carter and was much further behind in pledged delegates than Hillary Clinton. Yet he rolled into the convention as a major force, with victories on the Democratic platform, raucous demonstrations and inspiring speeches.

Hillary Clinton is around 100 delegates behind out of a total of more than 4,000. The race is NOT statistically, or even practically, over as Barack Obama cannot reach the total required without superdelegate votes. If Kennedy was allowed to continue his campaign, shouldn't Hillary be granted the same courtesy?

Yet it is precisely because of the influence she is wielding, that everyone is pushing the story about getting her out of the race. And with the dynamics of round-the-clock cable coverage, they may just succeed at doing so.

But the underlying reality must be faced. Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton has captured the hearts of around half of the Democratic Party, and that must be acknowledged in some way to satisfy her supporters.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Democrats Acting Like Republicans

Republicans are famous for avoiding debates on the issues and instead distorting statements by opposing candidates or mischaracterizing their personality.

Last week, we saw two examples of this approach by Democrats. As the media magnified Hillary Clinton's statements about sniper fire in Bosnia, Barack Obama stayed mute, letting the drama play out. Hillary's plane did undergo a jarring emergency landing, and everyone acknowledges there were snipers in the hills. But as the media pushed the story of her "exaggeration" ad nauseum, Mr. Obama should have entered into the fray and said the issue was a non-starter; we should be debating national healthcare, Iraq and the economy instead. If he had done so, he would have been seen as a gentleman and the "new type" of politician he claims himself to be. Instead, he let the story play out with no comment.

The second example, Mr. Obama's characterization of "small town" voters has been distorted to portray him as an "elitist" and "anti-religion." I do not believe this is Senator Clinton's doing. Rather, it is a vestige of the type of campaign organized by Mark Penn who had a decided inclination to go negative, a self-destructive policy if there ever was one. This tactic will not rebound to her campaign's credit in the long run.

It is regrettable that Senator Clinton's advisors have chosen this course of action. The campaign is most successful when they just let Senator Clinton be Senator Clinton, not a typical pol who is behind in the race. As an example, think about the results in New Hampshire, when Senator Clinton found her "voice." The current approach is not Senator Clinton's true voice; it is not the type of person she is, a caring, forgiving, compassionate type. Every time, she yields to her political advisors, she suffers a setback.

Finally, what's going on with Bill Clinton? Bringing up the Bosnia story again when it was about to die down...I don't think this was such a big mistake as the media says it was. The characterization of her "stretching" the truth was out there and accepted, uncontested. Even though the news stories about it were decreasing, it had to be addressed. President Clinton's "blunder" meant that his entire statement was promulgated, about how the news media went crazy about this non-issue, and it also re-introduced the theory about bias in the news media against Senator Clinton and in favor of Barack Obama. This is not a bad thing.

Saturday, April 5, 2008

The fallacy of demographic political analysis

After each primary in the continuing campaign for the Democratic nomination for President, we are treated to an analysis by pundits based on the voting behavior of specific groups. This approach does a disservice to the issues debated, not to mention its dubious relevance to the campaigns for future strategic decisions.

On rare occasions, we can admit some groups do vote as a block. There is a small Orthodox community in New York State, and it always votes 100 percent the same as its Rabbi's recommendation. However, groupings based on race, gender and origin have fluctuated widely during the course of the campaign, an indication that analysis based on these characteristics is inaccurate.

There are some tendencies, but they are rather obvious ones. Of course, women and blacks would be inclined favorably to the first person from their group to become President of the United States.

However, when you look at other groups, the analysis falters. How could white men in Wisconsin favor Barack Obama while the same demographic in nearby Ohio voted for Clinton? The answer is quite simple. Demographic groups react to the overall momentum, media coverage and events in the campaign. So what looks like a shift in one group may be mirrored by similar movements in ALL groups.

And when you drill down to the detail used by some of these pundits to justify their time, you get little real enlightenment. I refuse to believe there is a common dynamic among Hispanic women over 30 years of age, with varying degrees of education.

While it would be easy for us to shrug off some of these pundits' statements, there is an inherent danger as well. Just like the arbitrary division of our country into red and blue states creates an impression of splintering, demographic political analysis does the same.

It would be far better to concentrate on the issues in the campaign, an approach political commentators seem to avoid like the plague.

Saturday, March 29, 2008

Bob Dylan: We Live in a Political World

Political World (1)
by Bob Dylan

We live in a political world,
Love don't have any place.
We're living in times when man commit crimes,
And crime don't have a face.

We live in a political world,
Icicles hanging down.
Wedding bells ring, and angels sing,
And clouds cover up the ground.

We live in a political world,
Wisdom is thrown into jail.
It rots in a cell, misguided as hell,
But no one to pick up the trail.

We live in a political world,
Where mercy walks the plank.
Life is in mirrors, death disappears,
Up the steps into the nearest bank.

We live in a political world,
Courage is a thing of the past.
The houses are haunted, the children are unwanted,
The next day could be your last.

We live in a political world,
The one we can see and feel.
But there's no one to check, it's all a stacked deck,
We all know for sure that it's real.

We live in a political world,
The cities are a lonesome fear.
Little by little, you turn in the middle,
You're never sure why you're here.

We live in a political world,
Under the microscope.
You travel anywhere, and hang yourself there,
You always got more than enough rope.

We live in a political world,
Turnin' and a'thrashin' about.
As soon as you're awake, you're trained to take,
What looks like the easy way out.

We live in a political world,
Where peace is not welcome at all.
It's turned away from the door, to wander some more,
Or put up against the wall.

We live in a political world,
Everything's hers and his,
You climb in the frame, and shout God's name,
But you're not even sure what it is.

(1) Bob Dylan, Oh Mercy (1989)

Saturday, March 22, 2008

What Does It Feel Like to be Hillary?

What does it feel like to be Hillary?

I was humiliated by Monica Lewinsky after defending my husband's fidelity and going on television to denounce the sexual accusations against him as a "vast right-wing conspiracy."

I still defended my husband against impeachment despite the swirling emotions inside me.

People call me an "ice queen," but those who know me in person recognize my femininity. They know what comes across on TV is distortion, but everyone who meets me for the first time thinks it's reality.

I worked really hard in the Senate for over six years and gained the respect of many New Yorkers who initially doubted me. Then, when it seemed like I had a clear path to the Democratic nomination, this Obama phenomenon hits, and it looks like it's going to be taken away from me.

What does it feel like to almost be President of the United States? My campaign advisors misled me and let the Obama campaign pre-empt the change message.

I had the best, most extensive infrastructure so why is Obama winning all the caucuses? It should be the other way around.

My husband, who was supposed to be my greatest assest, alienated all my black supporters after South Carolina.

People are asking me to drop out of the race, but I am, was, so close to winning. What's 100 delegates among 4,000?

I thought Bill Richardson was our friend, not just a political ally.

Why am I getting the blame for going negative when my hand was forced, and Obama would have done the same thing if our roles were reversed?

With all the supporters and all the celebrity, I just feel so very alone.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Final word on Spitzer

For the many loyal readers of this blog (lol), sorry for the delay in this week's entry, but I wasn't feeling well on Saturday; it was the Ides of March (a good day for all politicos to beware); and I decided to stay in bed.

The Spitzer debacle occurred so quickly that there was barely time to comment on it, especially in a weekly blog, but here's ten insights as a final word on the matter.

1) The cost for the escort service ranged from $1,000 to $4,000 an hour. What does this say about the ex-Governor's fiscal discipline? Couldn't he find a better price than this?

2) At that level, how do you differentiate between the different prices? Maureen Dowd of The New York Times suggested that the same girl was probably available at a variety of prices. How would the buyer compare?

3) I'm used to hypocrisy from the Republicans. When it's one of your own, it's much more disappointing. I guess this speaks to the general fallenness of man.

4) When David Patterson was asked if he had ever patronized a prostitute (how many guys could answer this question in this situation), he paused for an uncomfortable period of time, then said, "Only the lobbyists," and everyone laughed. This bodes well for his time in office.

5) There's a reason it's called a classic Greek tragedy. Or as the Bible says, "Pride goeth before a fall." I wish we could all take this saying to heart.

6) It's not easy to beat the system. I'm still optimistic (or naive) enough to believe it can happen on rare occasions. But not in this one. All the Wall Street types are rejoicing at Spitzer's comeuppance.

7) I saw a cartoon with a picture of Spitzer's lawyers. The caption: "We cost thousands of dollars an hour, too. "

8) At least we got some relief from the media's 24-hour coverage of the Presidential race.

9) Why is it that people are so dumb when they commit criminal acts? Spitzer must have known his financial transactions would be monitored because he used the same techniques himself. Did he want to get caught?

10) Will Paterson seize upon his political honeymoon to effect real change in Albany? Or will he reprise his time as State Senate minority leader and work within what is widely believed to be one of the most corrupt state governments in the U.S.? The answer remains to be seen.

Today, the leadership changes hands. I am looking forward to hearing what David Paterson has to say.

Saturday, March 8, 2008

The Genius of Bill Clinton

People belittle Bill Clinton these days. He was widely criticized for intemperate remarks in New Hampshire and saddled with the blame for the debacle in North Carolina, when he single-handedly seemed to transform a 50-50 split for black voters into an 80-20 split for Barack Obama. Some people have even said that he's never been quite the same since his heart bypass surgery a few years ago.

Well, Bill Clinton proved his genius with Ohio and Texas without anyone even knowing it. He defined the Presidential race on his own terms, and for the states most favorable to Hillary. By saying that if Hillary lost either Ohio or Texas, the campaign would be over, he accomplished two things:

1) He selected the states most favorable to Hillary: Texas with its large number of Hispanic voters, and Ohio, with its economic hardships for working-class people. Both these groups have generally broken in favor of Hillary with the recent exception of Wisconsin.

2) He played to the greed of the Barack Obama camp. Eager for a knockout blow, they seized upon his suggestion because they were confident they could win one of the two.

So, Barack's 11-state winning streak fell by the wayside as did the intervening primaries and caucuses. Both sides played under the new set of rules, a loss for Hillary in either Ohio or Texas meant a likely withdrawl from the race.

The fact of the matter was that if Hillary couldn't win Ohio and Texas, she wasn't likely to succeed in any case. But it was the greed of the Obama camp for a knockout blow that created the new dynamic of this race. They let the other side determine the terms.

The same thing is happening now with Pennsylvania. So despite Barack's lead, Hillary with just one more win can make a claim for the nomination. After all, there are really only a few percentage points separating the number of delegates for each side, and most superdelegates are looking for an excuse to back Hillary. She is part of the Washington establishment, but so are they.

More about the superdelegates later...

Saturday, March 1, 2008

The Media and Reality: Favoritism and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

The media is a favorite scapegoat for politicians and government officials who feel they are receiving unfavorable or unfair coverage.

But the concept of unfair coverage is a recent phenomenon. In the 19th century, newspapers typically reflected the bias of their publishers and put out all sorts of rag sheets with openly admitted prejudices.

The phenomenon of American cultural life included a plethora of different publications in pluralistic competition with each other. You could say checks and balances occured within the media as well as the government.

In the 20th and 21st centuries, however, particularly with the advent of television, we have witnessed a consolidation of media outlets into four or five major conglomerates. In such a situation, the concept of fairness becomes much more relevant.

Politicians are often correct in their assertions of unfairness, and the claims of Hillary Clinton's campaign in this regard are not without merit. However, the favorable coverage of Barack Obama does not result from a built-in prejudice against women as some have claimed. Rather, it is caused primarily by the dynamics of a capitalistic society. Put simply, newspapers print what sells, and TV coverage is aimed at favorable ratings. The phenomenon of a young, charismatic candidate upending the Democratic establishment and the presumed victory of Senator Clinton makes a very good story.

However, my concern is not with this understandable dynamic, but with the ability of the media to influence the story, to change the reality of the situation in a self-fulfilling prophecy. People are easily influenced by "horse race" coverage, and the touting of momentum often ignores statistical realities.

As we go into the Texas and Ohio primaries, it is worth reminding people that Hillary Clinton's and Barack Obama's delegate counts are only about one percentage point apart. The superdelegates will definitely determine the outcome and could easily affect the final decision in either direction.

The current race for the nomination, for the Clinton campaign, is not unlike this year's Super Bowl. Hillary Clinton is on the 20 yard line with two minutes to play. She needs a touchdown to win. That result remains within her grasp.

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Kudos to Mike Huckabee

This election season has created a lot of cross-currents among Democrats, Republicans and Independents, maybe rip tides would be a more accurate statement. We've seen independents torn between supporting contradictory candidates such as Barack Obama and John McCain, whose positions are almost at opposite ends of the spectrum.

But this week, I want to focus on the populist positions of Governor Mike Huckabee, a candidate who was initially condemned by many on the religious right, until they realized they were going to get stuck with John McCain instead.

Mike Huckabee, like Barack Obama in many respects, represents a new generation of leadership. The old stalwarts of the religious right, Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson, focused almost exclusively on abortion and gay marriage as litmus tests for Republican candidates. But then here comes Mike Huckabee, a Baptist minister, who says that life does not stop after the womb. Yes, abortion is murder, but so is condemning people to a life of poverty. Yes, gay marriage is a sin, but so is social injustice. And, to add my personal belief, capital punishment represents the snuffing out of a human life just as much as abortion does.

Access to decent health care represents affirmation of life as well. And so does withdrawal from a needless and costly war where the true treasures of our nation, our young people, have been dying in droves.

So, even though I'm a Hillary Clinton supporter, this entry says, "Kudos to Mike Huckabee." Thank you for having the courage to show us what true Christianity is all about.

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Analyzing Super Tuesday

Now that all the spin and counterspin has ended, how is the average citizen supposed to interpret Super Tuesday?

Is it true that Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton blunted the momentum of Barack Obama in the final days before the election? Or did Barack Obama battle the Clinton juggernaut to a tie, rallying from up to 30 points behind in some states?

I believe the former, and here's why. Politics, unlike history, is all about the present, the here and now. What happened in the past is irrelevant. The rapidly changing kaleidescope of national politics generates its own demands, and, candidates who are unable to satisfy those demands fall by the wayside. It's all about today's headlines and tomorrow's.

Any pundit will tell you how, in politics, a day is like a year, and, thus, yesterday's headlines are a year old. Barack Obama has amassed one of the most amazing fundraising operations in the history of the nation, but, in spite of his monetary advantages, he is unable to put Hillary Clinton away; he just seems incapable of delivering that knockout blow.

We saw it in New Hampshire; we saw it again on Super Tuesday. Despite his momentum from Iowa, and later from South Carolina, a few days before the election, he starts hemorrhaging support.

The reason: Hillary Rodham Clinton is a uniquely compelling figure, and her time has come. Maybe, it's destiny, but she keeps hanging on, staying close, remaining in the game. And the longer this occurs, just like the other Super victory of the New York Giants over the New England Patriots, the more likely she will breakthrough, stage a comeback and win in the end.

Saturday, February 2, 2008

Primary Choices: Hillary Clinton

With the New York primary on Tuesday, here's a departure from the general format of My Week in Review. Instead of using this space as a company blog for Cut-It-Out Communications, instead please see below an article published in The New York Times on January 25, 2008, titled, "Primary Choices: Hillary Clinton."


"This generally is the stage of a campaign when Democrats have to work hard to get excited about whichever candidate seems most likely to outlast an uninspiring pack. That is not remotely the case this year.


The early primaries produced two powerful main contenders: Hillary Clinton, the brilliant if at times harsh-sounding senator from New York; and Barack Obama, the incandescent if still undefined senator from Illinois. The remaining long shot, John Edwards, has enlivened the race with his own brand of raw populism.


As Democrats look ahead to the primaries in the biggest states on Feb. 5, The Times’s editorial board strongly recommends that they select Hillary Clinton as their nominee for the 2008 presidential election.


We have enjoyed hearing Mr. Edwards’s fiery oratory, but we cannot support his candidacy. The former senator from North Carolina has repudiated so many of his earlier positions, so many of his Senate votes, that we’re not sure where he stands. We certainly don’t buy the notion that he can hold back the tide of globalization.


By choosing Mrs. Clinton, we are not denying Mr. Obama’s appeal or his gifts. The idea of the first African-American nominee of a major party also is exhilarating, and so is the prospect of the first woman nominee. “Firstness” is not a reason to choose. The times that false choice has been raised, more often by Mrs. Clinton, have tarnished the campaign.


Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton would both help restore America’s global image, to which President Bush has done so much grievous harm. They are committed to changing America’s role in the world, not just its image.


On the major issues, there is no real gulf separating the two. They promise an end to the war in Iraq, more equitable taxation, more effective government spending, more concern for social issues, a restoration of civil liberties and an end to the politics of division of George W. Bush and Karl Rove.


Mr. Obama has built an exciting campaign around the notion of change, but holds no monopoly on ideas that would repair the governing of America. Mrs. Clinton sometimes overstates the importance of résumé. Hearing her talk about the presidency, her policies and answers for America’s big problems, we are hugely impressed by the depth of her knowledge, by the force of her intellect and by the breadth of, yes, her experience.


It is unfair, especially after seven years of Mr. Bush’s inept leadership, but any Democrat will face tougher questioning about his or her fitness to be commander in chief. Mrs. Clinton has more than cleared that bar, using her years in the Senate well to immerse herself in national security issues, and has won the respect of world leaders and many in the American military. She would be a strong commander in chief.


Domestically, Mrs. Clinton has tackled complex policy issues, sometimes failing. She has shown a willingness to learn and change. Her current proposals on health insurance reflect a clear shift from her first, famously disastrous foray into the issue. She has learned that powerful interests cannot simply be left out of the meetings. She understands that all Americans must be covered — but must be allowed to choose their coverage, including keeping their current plans. Mr. Obama may also be capable of tackling such issues, but we have not yet seen it. Voters have to judge candidates not just on the promise they hold, but also on the here and now.


The sense of possibility, of a generational shift, rouses Mr. Obama’s audiences and not just through rhetorical flourishes. He shows voters that he understands how much they hunger for a break with the Bush years, for leadership and vision and true bipartisanship. We hunger for that, too. But we need more specifics to go with his amorphous promise of a new governing majority, a clearer sense of how he would govern.


The potential upside of a great Obama presidency is enticing, but this country faces huge problems, and will no doubt be facing more that we can’t foresee. The next president needs to start immediately on challenges that will require concrete solutions, resolve, and the ability to make government work. Mrs. Clinton is more qualified, right now, to be president.


We opposed President Bush’s decision to invade Iraq and we disagree with Mrs. Clinton’s vote for the resolution on the use of force. That’s not the issue now; it is how the war will be ended. Mrs. Clinton seems not only more aware than Mr. Obama of the consequences of withdrawal, but is already thinking through the diplomatic and military steps that will be required to contain Iraq’s chaos after American troops leave.


On domestic policy, both candidates would turn the government onto roughly the same course — shifting resources to help low-income and middle-class Americans, and broadening health coverage dramatically. Mrs. Clinton also has good ideas about fixing the dysfunction in Mr. Bush’s No Child Left Behind education program.


Mr. Obama talks more about the damage Mr. Bush has done to civil liberties, the rule of law and the balance of powers. Mrs. Clinton is equally dedicated to those issues, and more prepared for the Herculean task of figuring out exactly where, how and how often the government’s powers have been misused — and what must now be done to set things right.


As strongly as we back her candidacy, we urge Mrs. Clinton to take the lead in changing the tone of the campaign. It is not good for the country, the Democratic Party or for Mrs. Clinton, who is often tagged as divisive, in part because of bitter feeling about her husband’s administration and the so-called permanent campaign. (Indeed, Bill Clinton’s overheated comments are feeding those resentments, and could do long-term damage to her candidacy if he continues this way.)


We know that she is capable of both uniting and leading. We saw her going town by town through New York in 2000, including places where Clinton-bashing was a popular sport. She won over skeptical voters and then delivered on her promises and handily won re-election in 2006.


Mrs. Clinton must now do the same job with a broad range of America’s voters. She will have to let Americans see her power to listen and lead, but she won’t be able to do it town by town.


When we endorsed Mrs. Clinton in 2006, we were certain she would continue to be a great senator, but since her higher ambitions were evident, we wondered if she could present herself as a leader to the nation.


Her ideas, her comeback in New Hampshire and strong showing in Nevada, her new openness to explaining herself and not just her programs, and her abiding, powerful intellect show she is fully capable of doing just that. She is the best choice for the Democratic Party as it tries to regain the White House."

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Superdelegates will Help Hillary Win

In the blow-by-blow account of the Democratic race for President, many pundits are ignoring the importance of superdelegates in the nominating process. Superdelegates are unelected and unaffected by primaries and caucuses and will comprise a voting bloc of almost one-third of the total at the Democratic Convention. They are primarily members of the Party establishment including Congresspeople, officials and other entrenched interests. These superdelegates favor Hillary overwhelmingly over the upstart campaign of Barack Obama.

How did this "undemocratic" situation develop? Well, initially, in rebellion to the process of picking a Presidential candidate in a "smoke-filled" back room, the Democratic Party moved almost exclusively to state primaries. The only problem: the Democratic base sometimes got a little carried away. For example, in 1972, they chose the liberal icon, George McGovern, who went down to a resounding defeat in the general election. After that debacle, the Party decided to place a check on public opinion by creating superdelegates.

Though some decry this situation, it's actually a good thing. Our Founding Fathers were always concerned about the "tyranny of the majority," the possibility of a demagogue coming to power. That's one reason why they formed the Senate and gave Senators six-year terms to avoid any mass-induced hysteria from Representatives in the House. Let's remember that sometimes direct elections, in and of themselves, fail to produce the best result. For example, the victory of Hamas in Palestinian elections.

And sometimes you do need wiser, more experienced voices to exert some influence. So, while Barack Obama is dazzling us with his oratory, the Party elders, the superdelegates, may choose a more experienced candidate. This is beneficial for the Democratic Party and the country.

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Nevada and Rolling the Dice

It's somehow fitting to see the role Nevada is playing in the Democratic primaries. Former President Bill Clinton said we would be rolling the dice if we elected Barack Obama. Despite the controversy generated by the statement, the argument is valid for a number of reasons.

1) Power changes people. Different people react to power, especially immense power, in different ways. For example, Dick Cheney, though admittedly an arch conservative, was viewed with a degree of respect before he became Vice President. Since then, his efforts to aggrandize himself and the executive branch, combined with his blatant warmongering, and his disregard for fundamental elements of the Constitution, have transformed him into a different person. His character now is repugnant to most Americans.

Barack Obama's youth makes him especially vulnerable to the effects of immense power.

2) Politics is a game of images, and the things people say to get elected may be vastly different from their inner agenda. Presidential candidate George W. Bush said he wanted to be a uniter not a divider. We all know how quickly that promise was discarded.

3) The best barometer in evaluating political candidates, given the two points above, is their prior record. There seems to be an element of calculation, compared to inner beliefs, in Barack Obama's record. For example, he voted "present" instead of yea or nay on many votes while he was a state legislator. You can't vote "present" when you're President. You have to take a stand. That stand is harder to discern than for someone with a record like Hillary Clinton.

So, yes, there is an element of rolling the dice with Barack Obama. I'm not saying he couldn't be a good or even great President, only that it's difficult to render a verdict at this stage.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Barack Obama: Let the Buyer Beware

There is indeed something going in the Barack Obama campaign, but it requires a closer look. The first time I heard him speak since his keynote address at the Democratic Convention, Mr. Obama was giving his victory address after the Iowa caucus. Despite being a committed supporter of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, I must admit I was taken in by his soaring oratory and plea for unity.

As the campaign progressed, and I heard more of his speeches, I came to realize he wasn't saying very much. Yes, the words and sentiments were eloquent, but it was like the old Wendy's commercial, "Where's the beef?" Slowly, it dawned on me that everyone brought their own hopes and aspirations to these rallies, and transposed them onto what Obama was saying. Thus, the speeches served as a template for our individual needs.

With all due respect to Mr. Obama and the historic campaign he is waging, this is a dangerous thing. Even if the messenger is well meaning, the fact that masses of people are flocking to his campaign suggests we, as a people, may be vulnerable to a demagogue. Not that Barack is one, just that Americans are often a little naive. Mr. Obama is exploiting that fact like any good politician who tries to avoid unnecessarily alienating groups of voters by being too specific.

Now, I don't really know Mr. Obama very well, and I prefer Hillary because I know where she stands and her true concern for all Americans. But it is difficult for her to compete against someone who stirs the longing and desparation we all feel at times.

So, here's just a note of caution: Caveat Emptor... Let the buyer beware.